Situation 13
An investor needs rapid due diligence.
A decision is required quickly and the information available is incomplete.
The situation
An investment committee, family office or board needs an operating view of a consumer business inside a short window. The data room answers some questions and raises others.
The requirement is judgement, not another layer of commentary.
What usually goes wrong
- Diligence validates the model rather than testing the business.
- Market size is examined more closely than rate of sale.
- Operating risk in supply chain, systems and inventory is discovered post-completion.
- Management is assessed on presentation rather than on operating record.
- The report arrives after the decision has to be made.
What needs to be established first
- Is the revenue quality what it appears to be, by customer, channel and product?
- Does the margin structure hold at scale?
- Can the operation deliver the growth case?
- Is the management team capable of the next stage?
- What are the two or three things that would most damage the investment case?
The next 30 to 100 days
- Deliver a focused commercial and operational assessment within the decision window.
- Test the growth case against distribution, rate of sale and capacity.
- Identify the operating risks that carry real value consequences.
- Set out what the first hundred days of ownership should address.
- Give a clear position rather than an inventory of observations.
Capabilities involved
Other situations
Situation 01
The CEO has resigned.
Situation 02
The board isn't functioning.
Situation 03
A product recall has landed.
Certain details have been withheld or generalised to protect client confidentiality.
