Insprie

Situation 13

An investor needs rapid due diligence.

A decision is required quickly and the information available is incomplete.

The situation

An investment committee, family office or board needs an operating view of a consumer business inside a short window. The data room answers some questions and raises others.

The requirement is judgement, not another layer of commentary.

What usually goes wrong

  • Diligence validates the model rather than testing the business.
  • Market size is examined more closely than rate of sale.
  • Operating risk in supply chain, systems and inventory is discovered post-completion.
  • Management is assessed on presentation rather than on operating record.
  • The report arrives after the decision has to be made.

What needs to be established first

  • Is the revenue quality what it appears to be, by customer, channel and product?
  • Does the margin structure hold at scale?
  • Can the operation deliver the growth case?
  • Is the management team capable of the next stage?
  • What are the two or three things that would most damage the investment case?

The next 30 to 100 days

  • Deliver a focused commercial and operational assessment within the decision window.
  • Test the growth case against distribution, rate of sale and capacity.
  • Identify the operating risks that carry real value consequences.
  • Set out what the first hundred days of ownership should address.
  • Give a clear position rather than an inventory of observations.

Capabilities involved

Other situations

Certain details have been withheld or generalised to protect client confidentiality.

Talk to us about your situation

If this resembles a business you own, govern or advise, tell us where it sits.

Initial conversations are confidential and without obligation.